- Indiana may not matter any more http://election.princeton.edu/ 3 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama +2.6% popular vote meta-margin, 318 electoral votes, re-elect probability 95% (random drift), 99% (Bayesian) http://election.princeton.edu 5 comments politics
- Obama: 305 Romney: 233 http://election.princeton.edu/ 17 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama popular vote meta-margin +2.14, EV 300, Re-elect probability 90% (Random Drift), 97% (Bayesian Prior). http://election.princeton.edu/ 4 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama re-elect probability 95%ish, +1.78% popular vote, 299 EV http://election.princeton.edu/ 50 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium (predicted 2008 election outcome within 1 Electoral Vote): Obama re-elect probability now at >95%, popular vote margin +2.28%. http://election.princeton.edu 22 comments politics
Linking pages
- 2020 polls: Trump campaign in free fall with one of the worst debate swings in history and collapse in baby boomer support | The Independent https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election/2020-polls-trump-biden-debate-election-baby-boomers-b871319.html 1034 comments
- Eliminate the Electoral College | HuffPost Latest News http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mike-edwards/electoral-college-votes_b_1917826.html 866 comments
- 2014 Midterm Predictions: Republicans Not Guaranteed to Win Senate | The New Republic http://www.newrepublic.com/article/119844/2014-midterm-predictions-republicans-not-guaranteed-win-senate 204 comments
- Nate Silver and Sam Wang now agree: Current polls show GOP Senate takeover - Vox http://www.vox.com/2014/9/29/6862781/republicans-senate-takeover-odds 150 comments
- What’s Wrong With 538? | Huffington Post http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/whats-wrong-with-538_us_581ffe18e4b0334571e09e74 146 comments
- Nate Silver and the Psychological Addiction of Checking the Polls | WIRED https://www.wired.com/2016/10/just-want-nate-silver-tell-everythings-going-fine/ 119 comments
- Sam Wang Is This Year's Unsung Election Data Superhero | WIRED https://www.wired.com/2016/11/2016s-election-data-hero-isnt-nate-silver-sam-wang/ 113 comments
- Nate Silver says the GOP has a 58% chance of Senate takeover. The Washington Post says 95% - Vox http://www.vox.com/2014/10/10/6955341/nate-silver-chance-democrats-win-senate 67 comments
- Election 2020 polls: Who is winning the race for president? | The Independent https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/us-election-2020-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-biden-polls-b1012891.html 55 comments
- It's Biden's to lose (and he still could): State of the race after the conventions https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/it-s-biden-s-lose-he-still-could-state-race-n1238768 55 comments
- Election 2020 polls: Who is winning the race for president? | The Independent https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/us-election-2020-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-biden-polls-b997050.html 51 comments
- How The Trump-Clinton Presidential Election Has Surprised Political Scientists : NPR http://www.npr.org/2016/07/17/484016283/-politics-has-become-celebrity-driven-how-2016-surprised-political-thinkers 36 comments
- Don't waste your money trying to beat Mitch McConnell: Play "democracy moneyball" instead | Salon.com https://www.salon.com/2020/08/29/dont-waste-your-money-trying-to-beat-mitch-mcconnell-play-democracy-moneyball-instead/ 31 comments
- Is 538’s forecast being driven by trendline assumptions? | by George Berry | Medium https://medium.com/@georgeberry_8550/overview-4fa5fa157fd1#.foo3qsxt0 28 comments
- The Election May Be Over, but Trump’s Blowup Is Just Starting | The New Yorker http://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/the-election-may-be-over-but-trumps-blowup-is-just-starting 19 comments
- Nate Silver: Sam Wang's model showing Democratic Senate advantage 'is wrong' - Vox http://www.vox.com/2014/9/17/6333277/nate-silver-sam-wangs-model-showing-democratic-senate-advantage-is 18 comments
- Oct. 30: What State Polls Suggest About the National Popular Vote - The New York Times http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/31/oct-30-what-state-polls-suggest-about-the-national-popular-vote/ 17 comments
- Opinion | Why I Had to Eat a Bug on CNN - The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/19/opinion/why-i-had-to-eat-a-bug-on-cnn.html?_r=0 15 comments
- March of the nerds | The Economist http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2012/11/politics-and-statistics 12 comments
- 2014 Midterm Elections: Republican Wave Won't Include Governorships | The New Republic http://www.newrepublic.com/article/119926/2014-midterm-elections-republican-wave-wont-include-governorships 10 comments
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