- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama has a 97% chance of being re-elected http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/27/landfall/ 186 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Is 99% a reasonable probability? http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/06/is-99-a-reasonable-probability/ 59 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium Found Hillary had "more than 99% chance of beating Trump" http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/sam-wang-princeton-election-consortium-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-victory-a7399671.html 19 comments politics
- a Trump victory is now outside the yellow 95% confidence interval on Princeton Election Consortium. http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-meta-analysis/ 12 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium--Probability of Obama Re-election: Random Drift 99.2%, Bayesian Prediction 100.0% http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/06/senate-prediction-final-election-eve/ 3 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama re-elect probability 95%ish, +1.78% popular vote, 299 EV http://election.princeton.edu/ 50 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama meta-margin now at 1.16% (up from low of .62%) and re-elect probability >84%. http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/17/pre-debate2-state-poll-snapshot-one-last-look/#more-7647 5 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium on probability of election outcomes as of 9:00 am on Oct 15: Obama 84%, Romney 16%. http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/15/the-passing-storm/#more-7552 22 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium (predicted 2008 election outcome within 1 Electoral Vote): Obama re-elect probability now at >95%, popular vote margin +2.28%. http://election.princeton.edu 22 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium (which predicted outcome of 2008 presidential election within 1 electoral vote) now has Obama re-elect probability >90%, and popular vote meta-margin at +1.6% (up from +.62 percent yesterday.) http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-electoral-votes-for-obama/ 7 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Probability of Democratic+Independent control: 80% in an election today, 70% on Election Day http://election.princeton.edu/todays-senate-seat-count-histogram/ 14 comments politics
- Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium was more accurate overall than NYT's Nate Silver. Correctly predicted 49.5/50 states, 10/10 Senate races http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/09/karl-rove-eats-a-bug/ 26 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama +2.6% popular vote meta-margin, 318 electoral votes, re-elect probability 95% (random drift), 99% (Bayesian) http://election.princeton.edu 5 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: Obama popular vote meta-margin +2.14, EV 300, Re-elect probability 90% (Random Drift), 97% (Bayesian Prior). http://election.princeton.edu/ 4 comments politics
- Into the Home Stretch: Regardless of how close the national polls make the election seem, Obama is in the lead. Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium put the election odds "at about nine to one for Obama." The DeSart and Holbrook forecast puts Obama's re-election probability at over 85% http://votamatic.org/into-the-home-stretch/ 8 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium Electoral Map: 270toWin inter-active electoral map http://www.270towin.com/maps/princeton-election-consortium 9 comments politics
- Princeton Election Consortium: "Nerds Under Attack!" -- National Review Online and others are attacking Nate Silver because they don't like what his model is predicting. http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/29/nerds-under-attack/#more-8151 68 comments politics
- "Polls say in an election today Democrats and and Independents would keep control (of the Senate) with 80% probability and with 70% on election day." (2:35) -- as per Princeton Election Consortium http://www.wnyc.org/story/follow-friday-nate-silver-vs-sam-wang-midterm-polling/ 28 comments politics