02017-02020 (4 years): A bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event within a six month period starting no later than Dec 31 02020. - Long Bets - discu.eu

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Longbets: A bioerror will lead to one million casualties by Dec 2020 https://longbets.org/9/ 193 comments 10/12/2020

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John Tierney: Can Humanity Survive? Want to Bet on It? - The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/30/science/30tier.html?amp%3Bei=5090&amp%3Bemc=rss&amp%3Ben=870295e4a5260e36&amp%3Bpartner=rssuserland&ex=1327813200 1 comment
Long Bets as Charitable Giving Opportunity · Gwern.net https://www.gwern.net/Long-Bets 0 comments
Pandemic preparation without romance: insights from public choice | Public Choice https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11127-025-01277-2 0 comments

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