Hacker News
- By 2029 no computer / “machine intelligence” will have passed the Turing Test https://longbets.org/1/ 2 comments
- Longbet: By 2027, software will be metered/sold by the second https://longbets.org/884/ 118 comments
- By 2012, scientists will have announced a cure for breast cancer (2006) https://longbets.org/240/ 98 comments
- Warren Buffett's bet against hedge funds at the Long Now Foundation (2008-17) https://longbets.org/362/ 129 comments
- Longbets: A bioerror will lead to one million casualties by Dec 2020 https://longbets.org/9/ 193 comments
- In 2027, at least 7 out of the top Tiobe languages will be Tree Languages http://longbets.org/793/ 8 comments
- By 2029 no computer or “machine intelligence” will have passed the Turing Test http://longbets.org/1/ 79 comments
- $10k bet that bitcoin will outperform gold/silver/stock by 100x over two years http://longbets.org/611/ 28 comments
- By 2029 no computer will have passed the Turing Test http://longbets.org/1/ 52 comments
- Esther Dyson vs Bill Campbell: 2002 − 2012 http://longbets.org/5/ 75 comments
- Long Bets http://www.longbets.org/bets 8 comments
- Netflix wins a longbet from 8 years ago. http://www.longbets.org/3 55 comments
- The biggest bet on longbets.com: $1,000,000 http://www.longbets.org/362 32 comments
- Long Bets http://www.longbets.org/bets 13 comments
- Mitch Kapor vs. Ray Kurzweil: A $20k Bet on Turing Test http://www.longbets.org/1 2 comments
- In 2011, someone made a bet on longbets.org that “Bitcoins will outperform the US Dollar, Gold, Silver, and the stock market by over 100 times over the next two years.”. This is a link to his prediction and the discussion that followed. https://longbets.org/611/ 27 comments cryptocurrency
- Someone has locked in a bet in 2020 that "a bitcoin will be worth less than $1000US by the end of 2025." https://longbets.org/853/ 96 comments cryptocurrency
- Long Bet: Tesla will win self-driving cars https://longbets.org/887/ 51 comments wallstreetbets
- A fun piece of 2011 Bitcoin History http://longbets.org/611/ 14 comments btc
- Netflix wins a longbet from 8 years ago. http://www.longbets.org/3 23 comments technology
- By 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test. http://www.longbets.org/1 201 comments science
- A Prediction by Nova Spivack: “By 2050 no synthetic computer nor machine intelligence will have become truly self-aware (ie. will become conscious).” http://www.longbets.org/15 9 comments technology
- Spivack: By 2050 no synthetic computer nor machine intelligence will have become truly self-aware. http://www.longbets.org/15 15 comments philosophy
- LongBet (Mitch Kapor vs. Ray Kurzweil) : “By 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test.” http://www.longbets.org/1 446 comments programming
- Earth Will Be Destroyed By Particle Accelerator Today? Make Your Wagers Here. http://www.longbets.org/382 2 comments reddit.com
- Man bets $1000 the Large Hadron Collider will destroy the Earth. Good luck collecting. http://www.longbets.org/382 116 comments science
- By 2025 at least 50% of all U.S. citizens will have some form of technology embedded in their bodies for the purpose of tracking and identification. http://www.longbets.org/106 2 comments reddit.com
- Warren Buffet's Million Dollar Bet http://www.longbets.org/362 2 comments reddit.com
- Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor's $10000 long bet:: By 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test http://www.longbets.org/1 2 comments reddit.com
- At least one human alive in the year 2000 will still be alive in 2150. Agree? http://www.longbets.org/11 16 comments reddit.com
- Long Bets - a way to foster better long-term thinking. http://www.longbets.org/ 2 comments reddit.com
Linking pages
- String Theory Does Not Win a Nobel, and I Win a Bet - Scientific American Blog Network https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/cross-check/string-theory-does-not-win-a-nobel-and-i-win-a-bet/ 155 comments
- Prediction Markets · Gwern.net http://www.gwern.net/Prediction%20markets 87 comments
- Why Civilization Is Older Than We Thought https://palladiummag.com/2021/05/17/why-civilization-is-older-than-we-thought/ 79 comments
- Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/practically-a-book-review-rootclaim 12 comments
- The 10,000-Year Clock Is a Waste of Time | WIRED https://www.wired.com/story/the-10000-year-clock-is-a-waste-of-time/ 1 comment
- John Tierney: Can Humanity Survive? Want to Bet on It? - The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/30/science/30tier.html?amp%3Bei=5090&%3Bemc=rss&%3Ben=870295e4a5260e36&%3Bpartner=rssuserland&ex=1327813200 1 comment
- GitHub - KatherineMichel/tech-and-funding-toolkit: Tech and Funding Toolkit https://github.com/KatherineMichel/tech-and-funding-toolkit 0 comments
- Skillful Perception at the Scale of Civilization https://thesideview.co/articles/skillful-perception-at-the-scale-of-civilization/ 0 comments
- Prediction Markets · Gwern.net https://www.gwern.net/Prediction-markets 0 comments
- Dear Elon Musk, here are five things you might want to consider about AGI https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things 0 comments
- String Theory Does Not Win a Nobel, and I Win a Bet - Scientific American Blog Network https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/cross-check/string-theory-does-not-win-nobel-and-i-win-bet/ 0 comments
- Two Physicists Bet Over a Quantum Computing Moon Shot | WIRED https://www.wired.com/story/two-physicists-bet-over-a-quantum-computing-moonshot/ 0 comments
- Predictions. In January of 2014, I wrote the… | by Andrew Parker | Medium https://medium.com/@andrewparker/predictions-10d61108b1a0#.ao087o4ue 0 comments
- Projects - Long Now https://longnow.org/projects/ 0 comments