• [Chace McCallum] Introducing a new metric, NHLz! I wrote out my methodology for estimating which leagues around the world are the strongest. Plus measuring changes over time. Additionally, why these estimates may be key for improving public prospect models. https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/introducing-nhlz 5 comments 6/10/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] Every year we have a debate about some prospect who barley scored but played their draft year in a pro league like Brad Lambert. I tried to find out if NHLe models are likely to under rate these prospects like many believe https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/do-nhle-models-under-rate-pro-league 56 comments 5/7/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] NHLe and public prospect models are very controversial, especially around draft time So I wrote about their strengths, their weaknesses, and how I can prove they are useful in spite of said flaws. Plus why they might be useful despite their simplicity https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/how-and-why-are-prospect-models-useful 3 comments 22/6/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] Using NHLe models Matvei Michkov is one of the highest scoring prospects of all time thanks to his production in the KHL. I took a skeptical look at KHL production and showed the KHL may worse than it has been. Meaning NHLe models may over rated Michkov https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/is-the-khl-getting-worse 162 comments 9/6/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] I spent all of last summer researching and writing about NHL draft biases, but I found one that was not included in the findings. Highly drafted defencemen have performed far worse than highly drafted forwards. https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/nhl-draft-biases-beware-highly-drafted 41 comments 9/6/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] The NHL playoffs are notoriously random, but I wanted to know which team level metrics were the best predictors of playoff success. Turns out the best predictors depend on how you define it and what time period your looking at https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/which-team-metrics-predict-nhl-playoff?sd=pf 50 comments 30/5/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] How strong is the 2023 NHL draft class? I used our prospect projection model to compare the strength of this years draft class to previous years and see where this class ranks historically. Read about why teams picking in the top 15 should be thrilled https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/how-strong-is-the-2023-nhl-draft 39 comments 24/5/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] We Can't Learn As Much From Good Prospects: Right Skewed Distributions Make Learning From Elite Players Hard https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/we-cant-learn-as-much-from-good-prospects?sd=pf 2 comments 18/5/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] I wrote a full breakdown of Matvei Michkov, the most unique prospect in the 2023 NHL draft. I discussed his historic production, contract concerns, and concerns about how his game will translate to the NHL. In spite of his flaws, he's worth a massive risk https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/draft-matvei-michkov-as-high-as-you 76 comments 11/5/2023 hockey
• [Chace McCallum] Finding High Risk High Reward Prospects: Do high variance prospects even exist? https://chacemccallum.substack.com/p/finding-high-risk-high-reward-prospects 3 comments 20/4/2023 hockey