Hacker News
- Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/411742/ai-forecasting-prediction-metaculus-llm 0 comments
Linked pages
- https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/ 497 comments
- S&P 500® | S&P Dow Jones Indices https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/#data 354 comments
- Pakistan’s Leaders May Talk Tough, but War With India Is the Last Thing Pakistanis Want - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/02/world/asia/pakistan-india-kashmir.html 36 comments
- https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard= 3 comments
- Availability heuristic - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Availability_heuristic 2 comments
- FUTURESEARCH — AI for geopolitical risk professionals https://futuresearch.ai 1 comment
- Scope neglect - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scope_neglect 0 comments
- Scaffolded LLMs as natural language computers — LessWrong https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/43C3igfmMrE9Qoyfe/scaffolded-llms-as-natural-language-computers 0 comments
- [2402.18563] Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563 0 comments
- forecasting.pdf - Google Drive https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Tc_xY1NM-US4mZ4OpzxrpTudyo1W4KsE/view 0 comments
- Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting — LessWrong https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uGkRcHqatmPkvpGLq/contra-papers-claiming-superhuman-ai-forecasting 0 comments
- OpenAI Deep Research - Six Strange Failures — FUTURESEARCH https://futuresearch.ai/oaidr-feb-2025 0 comments
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