Hacker News
- AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inform policy https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/ai-existential-risk-probabilities 24 comments
- AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inform policy https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/ai-existential-risk-probabilities 4 comments
Linking pages
Linked pages
- [2306.02519] Transformative AGI by 2043 is <1% likely https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.02519 46 comments
- AI scaling myths - by Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kapoor https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/ai-scaling-myths 21 comments
- Pascal's wager - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_wager 15 comments
- Focal point (game theory) - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Focal_point_(game_theory) 13 comments
- New paper: AI agents that matter https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/new-paper-ai-agents-that-matter 10 comments
- How the AI apocalypse gripped students at elite schools like Stanford - The Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/05/ai-apocalypse-college-students/ 9 comments
- In Continued Defense Of Non-Frequentist Probabilities https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/in-continued-defense-of-non-frequentist 5 comments
- Do half of AI researchers believe that there's a 10% chance AI will kill us all? https://aiguide.substack.com/p/do-half-of-ai-researchers-believe 1 comment
- On the Societal Impact of Open Foundation Models https://crfm.stanford.edu/open-fms/ 1 comment
- What is longtermism? The controversial idea, explained - Vox https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23298870/effective-altruism-longtermism-will-macaskill-future 0 comments
- Metaculus https://metaculus.com/ 0 comments
- Black swan theory - Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory 0 comments
- Weighing the Prophecies of AI Doom - IEEE Spectrum https://spectrum.ieee.org/ai-existential-risk-survey 0 comments
- AI Survey Exaggerates Apocalyptic Risks | Scientific American https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-survey-exaggerates-apocalyptic-risks/ 0 comments
- AI safety is not a model property https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/ai-safety-is-not-a-model-property 0 comments
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