- Nate Silver: My Gut Says Trump, but Don’t Trust Anyone’s Gut, Even Mine https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html?smid=re-nytopinion&unlocked_article_code=1.Uk4.N3Sx.F2_k13y6AUW_ 69 comments politics
- Nate Silver: Here’s What My Gut Says About the Election. But Don’t Trust Anyone’s https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html 76 comments politics
Linking pages
- Latest Trump-Harris Poll: Trump Ahead In HarrisX/Forbes Survey https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/23/new-harrisxforbes-poll-trump-leads-harris-by-2-points-but-12-are-still-deciding/ 267 comments
- Nate Silver Gives Up on 2024 Poll Predictions to Deliver ‘Gut’ Call https://www.thedailybeast.com/nate-silver-gives-up-on-2024-poll-predictions-to-deliver-gut-call/ 178 comments
- There’s more herding in swing state polls than at a sheep farm in the Scottish Highlands https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-more-herding-in-swing-state 176 comments
- US pollsters taking heat – again – for failing to predict Trump triumph | US elections 2024 | The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/06/trump-presidential-election-polling 122 comments
- Nate Silver: My 'gut says' Donald Trump could win election https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4948792-nate-silver-donald-trump-2024-election-essay/amp/ 83 comments
- Republicans preparing to reject US election result if Trump loses, warn strategists | US elections 2024 | The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/01/republicans-donald-trump-polls-us-election-lawsuits 73 comments
- Opinion | Don’t Blame Polling for Our Infuriating Politics - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/19/opinion/polling-election-trump-harris.html?smid=re-nytopinion&unlocked_article_code=1.bE4.24mm.f8i3YWAe3M-k 39 comments
- Opinion | Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/01/opinion/harris-trump-electoral-college-prediction.html 21 comments
- Opinion | Gender and Education Are the New Fault Lines of American Politics - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/30/opinion/gender-education-gap.html?smid=re-nytopinion&unlocked_article_code=1.WE4.WX3k.VqYAEFVaNeAr 15 comments
- The Situation: No Recriminations, Just Democratic Survival | Lawfare https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/no-recriminations--just-democratic-survival 13 comments
- A random number generator determined the “favorite" in our forecast https://www.natesilver.net/p/a-random-number-generator-determined 0 comments
Linked pages
- FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model 198 comments
- How One Polling Decision Is Leading to Two Distinct Stories of the Election - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/upshot/polling-methods-election.html 9 comments
- Confronting 2016 and 2020 Polling Limitations - Pew Research Center Methods | Pew Research Center https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2021/04/08/confronting-2016-and-2020-polling-limitations/ 3 comments
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