- Ukraine Strategy Bets on Restraint by Russia. The Eurasia Group estimated the likelihood of a Russian invasion at about 35 percent. Some of the only backers of the notion that Mr. Putin will surely not invade appear to be the pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine who crave his help. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/10/world/europe/ukraine.html?_r=0 8 comments worldnews
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