Hacker News
- If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is? https://hbr.org/2018/07/if-you-say-something-is-likely-how-likely-do-people-think-it-is 112 comments
Linking pages
- For probabilities, use Fermi numbers, not words https://longform.asmartbear.com/probability-words/ 4 comments
- Notes on good judgement and how to develop it - 80,000 Hours https://80000hours.org/2020/09/good-judgement/ 0 comments
- Ireland's COVID Response, Part 4: The Definition of Insanity... https://www.thefitzwilliam.com/p/irelands-covid-response-part-4-the 0 comments
- Is 200k a Year Good? [What the Data Says] https://ofdollarsanddata.com/is-200k-a-year-good/ 0 comments
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