- Meta-analytic forecasts of elections (e.g. 538) increases voters' certainty about an election’s outcome, and decreases turnout. Election forecasting is particularly prominent in liberal outlets, and tends to more strongly affect the candidate who is ahead. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/708682 3 comments science
Linking pages
- New study: FiveThirtyEight and other forecasters decreased voter turnout in 2016. https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/02/study-fivethirtyeight-2016-voter-turnout-decrease-election-forecasts.html 184 comments
- Election forecasts can be wrong so you still need to vote https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2020/10/01/election-forecasts-can-wrong-you-still-need-vote-column/5857993002/ 142 comments
- Poll Obsessions Could Be Messing Up Our Democracy https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/kenbensinger/polls-wrong-obsession-bad-democracy 19 comments
- Opinion | Can We Finally Agree to Ignore Election Forecasts? - The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/opinion/election-forecasts-modeling-flaws.html 16 comments
Linked pages
- Motivations to use multifunctional public goods in organizations: using agent-based modeling to explore differential uses of enterprise social media | Human Communication Research | Oxford Academic https://academic.oup.com/hcr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/hcr/hqz022/5840447?guestAccessKey=e1548abf-a0ae-469a-98f5-a9a04b0b769e 8 comments