Linking pages
- The Buying Things From A Store FAQ - by Scott Alexander https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-buying-things-from-a-store-faq 5 comments
- Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets https://news.manifold.markets/p/isaac-kings-whales-vs-minnows-and 1 comment
- Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts - by Mike Saint-Antoine https://www.mikesblog.net/p/scoring-2024-election-forecasts 1 comment
- Mantic Monday 8/28/23 - by Scott Alexander https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823 0 comments
Linked pages
- Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market http://polymarket.com 233 comments
- Prediction Markets: When Do They Work? | Don't Worry About the Vase https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2018/07/26/prediction-markets-when-do-they-work/ 58 comments
- [2105.09938] Measuring Coding Challenge Competence With APPS https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.09938 12 comments
- PredictIt https://www.predictit.org/ 11 comments
- How I Made $10k Predicting Which Studies Will Replicate | Fantastic Anachronism https://fantasticanachronism.com/2021/11/18/how-i-made-10k-predicting-which-papers-will-replicate/ 10 comments
- Mantic Monday: Let Me Google That For You https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-let-me-google-that 8 comments
- Futuur https://futuur.com/ 8 comments
- Kalshi - Trade Event Contracts https://kalshi.com 5 comments
- Prediction market - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market 5 comments
- DEEP DIVE on Predicting Elections: Betting Markets vs FiveThirtyEight https://maximumtruth.substack.com/p/deep-dive-on-predicting-elections 4 comments
- The Future of Truth and Misinformation Online | Pew Research Center https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2017/10/19/the-future-of-truth-and-misinformation-online/ 3 comments
- https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/insiderbet.pdf 1 comment
- Metaculus https://www.metaculus.com/questions/ 0 comments
- Prediction market does not imply causation https://dynomight.net/prediction-market-causation/ 0 comments
- [2009.03300] Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.03300 0 comments
- Instead Of Pledging To Change The World, Pledge To Change Prediction Markets https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/instead-of-pledging-to-change-the 0 comments
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