Hacker News
- Recently CEOs of leading AI companies have grown increasingly confident about rapid progress. What explains the shift? Is it just hype? Or could we really have Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by 2030? A deep dive into forecasting AGI https://80000hours.org/agi/guide/when-will-agi-arrive/ 56 comments artificial
- The case for AGI by 2030 https://80000hours.org/agi/guide/when-will-agi-arrive/ 1 comment futurology
- CS student planning to drop out https://80000hours.org/agi/guide/when-will-agi-arrive/ 91 comments cscareerquestions
Linked pages
- https://openai.com/index/learning-to-reason-with-llms/ 1525 comments
- [2501.12948] DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.12948 1061 comments
- AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data | Nature https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y 851 comments
- NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for First Quarter Fiscal 2025 | NVIDIA Newsroom https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2025 650 comments
- AGI is Still 30 Years Away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ege-tamay 361 comments
- Press release: The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2024 - NobelPrize.org https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/chemistry/2024/press-release/ 317 comments
- Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D | Epoch AI https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/most-ai-value-will-come-from-broad-automation-not-from-r-d 313 comments
- OpenAI sees $5 billion loss this year on $3.7 billion in revenue https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/27/openai-sees-5-billion-loss-this-year-on-3point7-billion-in-revenue.html 309 comments
- Introducing Claude 3.5 Sonnet \ Anthropic https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-3-5-sonnet 289 comments
- Extreme altruism: should you care for strangers at the expense of your family? | Philosophy | The Guardian http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/22/extreme-altruism-should-you-care-for-strangers-as-much-as-family 278 comments
- A Bear Case: My Predictions Regarding AI Progress — LessWrong https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oKAFFvaouKKEhbBPm/a-bear-case-my-predictions-regarding-ai-progress 216 comments
- meemi's Shortform — LessWrong https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cu2E8wgmbdZbqeWqb/meemi-s-shortform 203 comments
- Moravec's paradox - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox 194 comments
- NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 | NVIDIA Newsroom https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025 179 comments
- NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 | NVIDIA Newsroom https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-third-quarter-fiscal-2025 127 comments
- [2311.02462] Levels of AGI: Operationalizing Progress on the Path to AGI https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.02462 118 comments
- Reflections - Sam Altman https://blog.samaltman.com/reflections 112 comments
- I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs - SITUATIONAL AWARENESS https://situational-awareness.ai/from-gpt-4-to-agi/ 91 comments
- https://investor.atmeta.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2025/Meta-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx 60 comments
- Situational Awareness Dataset https://situational-awareness-dataset.org/ 40 comments
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