Hacker News
- U.S. Recession Probabilities September 2021: 44% https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RECPROUSM156N 53 comments
- Larry Fink warns about inflation impacts of tariffs, says we're probably in a recession https://www.forexlive.com/news/larry-fink-warns-about-inflation-impacts-of-tariffs-20250407/ 2 comments economics
- JPMorgan Chase Sees 60% Probability of Global Recession This Year Amid ‘Disruptive US Policies’: Report https://dailyhodl.com/2025/04/06/jpmorgan-chase-sees-60-probability-of-global-recession-this-year-amid-disruptive-us-policies-report/ 8 comments cryptocurrency
- Bank of England says UK recession is modest in historical terms and that upturn is probably underway https://apnews.com/article/britain-economy-recession-election-inflation-96fea14a88409aca2dda34d6b832b4ce 4 comments europe
- UK Is Probably Already in Recession, Bloomberg Analysis Shows https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-06/uk-is-probably-already-in-recession-bloomberg-analysis-shows 22 comments economics
- ‘Already past the point of no return’: JPMorgan says the U.S. is probably headed for a recession as economic ‘engines are about to turn off’ https://fortune.com/2023/03/21/recession-banking-crisis-federal-reserve-minsky-moment-jpmorgan-us-economy/ 568 comments wallstreetbets
- Why There (Probably) Won’t Be a Recession This Year https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/01/will-there-be-a-recession-us-soft-landing-inflation.html 8 comments securityanalysis
- 100% probability of U.S. recession in coming year, according to Bloomberg Economics forecast model https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/us-recession-100-chance-within-year-inflation-fed-rate-hikes-2022-10?amp= 8 comments wallstreetbets
- 100% probability of U.S. recession in coming year, according to Bloomberg Economics forecast model https://www.marketwatch.com/story/100-probability-of-u-s-recession-in-next-12-months-according-to-new-forecast-11666051473?mod=mw_latestnews 75 comments worldnews
- A Global Recession Is One of the Three Scenarios Envisaged by the World Bank for 2023. David Malpass explains that the probability of this scenario occurring is far from zero. https://thepowerofknowledge.xyz/a-global-recession-is-one-of-the-three-scenarios-envisaged-by-the-world-bank-for-2023-cec33bf8a21 3 comments economy
- [P] Modeling Recessions Using Data and Machine Learning - Predicts recession probability and years until the next recession https://recessionmodel.pythonanywhere.com/ 3 comments machinelearning
- Yes, we're probably in a recession, and that's fine https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/yes-were-probably-in-a-recession 275 comments economics
- Euro Zone’s Eastern Fringe Probably Already in Recession https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-14/euro-zone-s-eastern-fringe-probably-already-in-recession-map?cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business 26 comments europe
- Goldman Sachs raises probability of U.S. recession to 30% over next year https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/goldman-sachs-raises-probability-us-recession-2023-30-2022-06-21/ 6 comments economy
- As the world economy is falling into one of the biggest contractions of the last decades, a new study finds that the likelihood of a downturn was high even before the onset of the Coronavirus crisis. With a 85% probability that after the crisis of 2008, the next recession would happen before 2020 https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-05/iifa-cwe050720.php 70 comments science
- Economist Alan Blinder says the US is probably already in recession https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/11/economist-alan-blinder-says-the-us-is-probably-already-in-recession.html?fbclid=iwar1p6nu38rvgck1oszedckdpgkgoho9lpxfp6w8ylpqbskysaynqwv-63jg 55 comments politics
- Legg Mason Says Probability Of Recession Is Now At 50% https://www.forbes.com/sites/lcarrel/2019/11/30/legg-mason-says-probability-of-recession-is-now-at-50/#2653e2c25d23 4 comments economy
- Estimated Probability of Recession in August 2020 = 49% https://econbrowser.com/archives/2019/09/estimated-probability-of-recession-in-august-2020-49 3 comments economy
- Buttigieg: We 'probably are' on cusp of recession https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/457853-buttigieg-we-probably-are-on-cusp-of-recession 43 comments politics
- Someone Should Probably Step In and Stop the Economy From Tumbling Into a Recession https://slate.com/business/2019/08/recession-economy-bond-market-yield-curve-trade-china-germany.html 121 comments politics
- Three of Europe's biggest economies are probably in recession — and the ECB is out of bullets https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/germany-italy-uk-are-headed-for-recession-and-ecb-is-out-of-tools-2019-8-1028435638 99 comments europe
- Column: Global economy is probably in recession https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-global-economy-kemp/column-global-economy-is-probably-in-recession-idukkcn1ux1of 5 comments worldnews
- UBS increases US recession in 2019 probability from 34% to 73% http://www.cityam.com/274430/us-recession-risk-spikes-amid-trade-war-and-consumer 19 comments economy
- "Housing is already in a slump. So it (probably) can't cause a recession." - actual NYTimes headline https://www-nytimes-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/02/19/business/economy/housing-recession.amp.html?amp_js_v=a2&amp_gsa=1#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2019%2F02%2F19%2Fbusiness%2Feconomy%2Fhousing-recession.html 41 comments wallstreetbets
- Probability of a recession rises to the highest in 7 years: WSJ Survey https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/10/probability-of-a-recession-rises-to-highest-in-7-years-wsj-survey.html 5 comments economy
- 'Bad and unexpected': Germany probably just went into a recession https://www.businessinsider.com/germany-just-went-into-a-recession-2019-1 9 comments worldnews
- History shows a U.S. recession will probably happen within 24 months https://finance.yahoo.com/news/history-shows-u-recession-probably-150201052.html 55 comments politics
- U.S. Economic Expansion Could Become Longest on Record. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal see 43% probability of a recession in the next three years https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-economic-expansion-could-become-longest-on-record-1513179000 12 comments politics
- POSTED ONE YEAR AGO TODAY: Jim Rogers: There's a 100% Probability of a U.S. Recession Within a Year https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-04/jim-rogers-there-s-a-100-probability-of-a-u-s-recession-within-a-year 42 comments economy
- Boom, Bust, Rinse and Repeat: Predicting The Global Economy, by Raoul Pal [40min] (Thinks we are probably in a recession now) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SDoIbFuKgfU 20 comments wallstreetbets
- Jim Rogers: There's a 100% Probability of a U.S. Recession Within a Year http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-04/jim-rogers-there-s-a-100-probability-of-a-u-s-recession-within-a-year 43 comments politics
- Jim Rogers: There's a 100% Probability of a U.S. Recession Within a Year http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-04/jim-rogers-there-s-a-100-probability-of-a-u-s-recession-within-a-year 3 comments economy
- FRED recession probability on the rise, now at 3.54% http://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=10&t=166964 33 comments investing
- Petition: Tell Congress to end recess and create jobs. A few jobs probably open today are, History Teacher for Michele Bachmann and Anger Management Therapist for Allen West. http://jobsnowpac.org/helpwanted.html 8 comments politics
- Double-Dip Recession Probable in 2011 http://news.yahoo.com/s/ac/20110420/us_ac/8328195_a_doubledip_recession_in_2011_is_probable_1 4 comments politics
- So just to be clear, the recession is over and Obama's policies probably had a lot to do with it http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a_m4uwcu_rrg&pos=2 12 comments politics
- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke: Recession’s end ‘probably’ this year http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29710220/ 25 comments business
- The Brits suddenly love squirrel! And so will we, probably: the critters run $3 each, and the Times concedes they seem perfect for a recession. http://gawker.com/5125148/in-the-depression-you-will-eat-squirrel 4 comments business
- Mark Zandi: “Economists have a really hard time saying over 50% probability of recession. I assure you, almost every economist out there is thinking over 50% probability” https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-adds-183000-private-sector-jobs-in-february-adp-says-2020-03-04 29 comments economy
- The economy probably just plunged into a recession, according to a real-time data tracker used by a key Federal Reserve bank https://finance.yahoo.com/news/economy-probably-just-plunged-recession-181552884.html 6 comments economy